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First-trimester and combined first- and second-trimester prediction of small-for-gestational age and late fetal growth restriction.

ΤίτλοςFirst-trimester and combined first- and second-trimester prediction of small-for-gestational age and late fetal growth restriction.
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2019
AuthorsSotiriadis, A., Figueras F., Eleftheriades M., Papaioannou G. K., Chorozoglou G., Dinas K., & Papantoniou N.
JournalUltrasound Obstet Gynecol
Volume53
Issue1
Pagination55-61
Date Published2019 Jan
ISSN1469-0705
Λέξεις κλειδιάAdult, Algorithms, Female, Fetal Growth Retardation, Humans, Infant, Small for Gestational Age, Predictive Value of Tests, Pregnancy, Pregnancy Trimester, First, Pregnancy Trimester, Second, Retrospective Studies, Ultrasonography, Prenatal
Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To develop a first-trimester or combined first- and second-trimester screening algorithm for the prediction of small-for-gestational age (SGA) and late fetal growth restriction (FGR).METHODS: This was a retrospective study of women with singleton pregnancy, who underwent routine first-, second- and third-trimester ultrasound assessment. Late FGR was defined, at ≥ 32 weeks' gestation in the absence of congenital anomalies, as either (i) estimated fetal weight (EFW) or birth weight (BW) < 3 centile, or (ii) EFW < 10 centile and either uterine artery mean pulsatility index (UtA-PI) > 95 centile or cerebroplacental ratio (CPR) < 5 centile. Neonates with BW < 10 centile, regardless of prenatal parameters, were defined as SGA. The predictive effectiveness of maternal and first- and second-trimester factors was tested using logistic regression and receiver-operating characteristics curve analyses.RESULTS: A total of 3520 fetuses were included (late FGR, n = 109 (3.1%); SGA, n = 292 (8.3%)). Of the late FGR cases, 56 (1.6%) fulfilled the antenatal criteria (EFW < 3 centile or EFW < 10 centile plus abnormal UtA-PI or CPR) and were defined as prenatally detected late FGR. A first-trimester screening model (comprising conception method, smoking status, maternal height, pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) and UtA-PI) could predict 50.0% of the prenatally diagnosed and 36.7% of the overall late FGR fetuses for a 10% false-positive rate (FPR). A model combining first- and second-trimester screening parameters (conception method, smoking status, PAPP-A, second- trimester EFW, head circumference/abdominal circumference ratio and UtA-PI) could predict 78.6% of the prenatally detected, and 59.6% of the overall late FGR fetuses, for a 10% FPR (area under the curve 0.901 (95% CI, 0.856-0.947) and 0.855 (95% CI, 0.818-0.891), respectively). The prediction of SGA was suboptimal for both first-trimester and combined screening.CONCLUSIONS: A simple model combining maternal and first- and second-trimester predictors can detect 60% of fetuses that will develop late FGR, and 79% of those fetuses that will be classified prenatally as late FGR, for a 10% FPR. Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

DOI10.1002/uog.19055
Alternate JournalUltrasound Obstet Gynecol
PubMed ID29573501

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